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Election forecast.

July 4, 2016

Anyone out there giving odds that there will be a re-run election?

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2 Comments leave one →
  1. July 4, 2016 3:57 am

    I’m prepared to bet you a bottle of Skillogalee Riesling that there will be a re-run Federal election.
    Labor can’t form government, other than with a handful of independents.
    The Liberals might just get the numbers, but it may need 1-2 independents to have a bit of comfort.
    The trouble is that both Labor and Liberal said that they would do no deal with the Greens and I loosely include the independents in that deal.
    I believe the problem has arisen from the media beating up wonky polling that showed the Liberals winning by a small margin. The voters then over corrected by giving a protest vote.
    The Medicare issue (with last minute text messages supposedly from Medicare) hit the Liberals for a 6.

    So, I think a fresh election is a high probability.
    Also, I wouldn’t be surprised to see Turnbull replaced by Scott Morrison.
    No, I won’t bet a second bottle of Skillogalee Riesling on that scenario.

    For more information, visit Bob’s Blog 🎯

    Like

  2. YoungerSlightlyGrumpy permalink
    July 5, 2016 3:00 pm

    I know politics should include a bit of argy bargy but the Medicscare campaign was a disgusting low. In my opinion that went outside the realm. The text is being investigated but the source has fessed up.

    Like

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